Posts Tagged ‘case-shiller index’

Housing Starts and Permits Up Strongly In June

Monday, July 27th, 2009

July 17, 2009 – Nationwide housing starts and permits posted substantial gains in June as home builders responded to improved market conditions and the impending expiration of the first-time buyer tax credit, according to data released by the U.S. Commerce Department today. Commerce reported a 3.6 percent gain in overall housing starts to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 582,000 units and an 8.7 percent gain in permit issuance to 563,000 units.
 
“The upcoming expiration of the first-time home buyer tax credit on December 1st is encouraging some builders to get homes started now so that they can be completed in time for clients to take advantage of this attractive buying incentive,” said NAHB Chairman Joe Robson, a home builder from Tulsa, Okla. “However, there is still much concern about the difficulty of financing new-home production and continuing weakness in the job market.”
 
“Today’s report was in keeping with our forecasts for some glimmers of improvement on the single-family side in the second quarter, and also with the results of our latest builder surveys,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “Many remain very cautious, however, in the face of the severe tightening of credit for acquisition, development and construction financing and increased instances of low appraisals tied to improper use of distressed properties as comps, both of which threaten to derail a housing and economic recovery going forward.”
 
Single-family housing starts rose for a fourth consecutive month in June, posting a 14.4 percent gain to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 470,000 units, while single-family permits rose for a third consecutive month, posting a 5.9 percent gain to 430,000 units. Meanwhile, the multifamily side, which characteristically displays greater month-to-month volatility, posted a 25.8 percent decline in starts following an unsustainably large gain in the previous month, to 112,000 units. Multifamily permits rose 18.8 percent to 133,000 units from an abnormal low in May.
 
Regionally, housing starts were mixed, with the Northeast and Midwest posting big gains of 28.6 percent and 33.3 percent, respectively, and the South and West posting declines of 1.4 percent and 14.8 percent, respectively. However, the declines in both the South and West were entirely driven by dips in multifamily production.
 
Permit issuance was up across the board in June, with the Northeast posting a 5.4 percent gain, the Midwest a 3.4 percent gain, the South a nearly 14 percent gain and the West a nearly 2 percent gain.

Source: www.NAHB.org

DV Wise

Apartments And Condos Bring Jobs, Economic Benefits To Cities

Monday, July 27th, 2009

July 16, 2009 – A new report from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) will enable city and county leaders to paint a clearer picture of the positive impact of building new multifamily communities.  Using a proprietary modeling method, the report found that the development of apartment and condo communities generates significant economic benefits for municipalities long after the building process has been completed.
 
“As employment and tax revenues plummet nationwide and local governments continue to seek ways to enhance the fiscal health of their communities, this new report should enhance local planning efforts,” said NAHB Chairman Joe Robson, a builder and developer from Tulsa, Okla.
 
The report explains how a typical development of either 100 rental apartments or 100 condominiums affects income and employment figures for 16 sample industries and local government, as well as detailed information about the new construction’s effect on taxes and government revenue.
 
During its first year of construction, a typical 100-unit apartment community will generate $7.9 million in local business owners’ income, wages and salaries; $827,000 in taxes; and other revenue and 122 jobs.
 
A similarly-sized condominium community would do even more, with $20.9 million in owners’ income and local wages and salaries, $2.2 million in public revenue and 319 jobs.
 
“To fully understand the positive impact of multifamily construction, it’s important to recognize the economic ripple effects and ongoing benefits to the community at large,” Robson continued.  “Local governments now have a great resource they can use to enhance their land use policies.”
 
And both apartments and condos continue to deliver benefits to the local area for years to come. Each year, the construction of 100 multifamily units could generate $2.3 million to $2.9 million in business income; $395,000 to $705,000 in taxes and other revenue; and 32 and 49 people jobs.
 
“There is continued demand for close-in housing in major metro areas, and apartments and condos not only can fill that need, but also can help jumpstart local economies,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “The initial impact and the ongoing ripple effect from added employment and tax revenue can make encouraging multifamily development a winning strategy for local governments.”
 
The full report can be found at: http://www.nahb.org/fileUpload_details.aspx?ContentID=120366

Source: www.NAHB.org

DV Wise

Faulty Appraisal Process Harming Housing And The Economy

Monday, July 13th, 2009

July 13, 2009 – Twenty-six percent of builders are seeing signed sales contracts fall through the cracks because appraisals on their homes are coming in below the contract sales price, according to a nationwide survey conducted by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).
 
“Home builders are increasingly concerned that inappropriate appraisal practices are needlessly driving down home values. This, in turn, is slowing new home sales, causing more workers to lose their jobs and putting a drag on the economic recovery,” said NAHB Chairman Joe Robson, a home builder from Tulsa, Okla.
 
The survey showed that nearly 60 percent of the builders are reporting that inadequate appraisals are causing serious problems in the market, with the biggest problem being comparables of new single-family homes that are too often based on foreclosures and distressed sales.
 
“Lost home sales are killing jobs, deepening the housing slump and hurting local economic activity,” said Robson, adding that construction of 100 single-family homes adds 324 local jobs, $21.1 million in local income and $2.2 million in taxes and other revenue for local governments with the first year.
 
Of those who are reporting appraisal problems, 54 percent said that the appraisal amount was actually less than the cost of building the home.
 
Robson said that foreclosure and distressed sales should not be used without appropriate adjustments to reflect the expenditure that would be required to bring them up to the condition and quality that represents a reasonable alternative for the home buyer.
 
In what Robson called a step in the right direction, Freddie Mac on July 10 issued a Guide Bulletin publicly stating that it does not require appraisers to use Real Estate Owned, foreclosures or short sales in selecting comparable sales to provide an accurate opinion on home values based on market data. Freddie further stipulated that appraisers must “certify that comparable sales chosen are those most similar to the subject property.”
 
While the appraisal practices currently in use are taking a heavy toll on the housing market, they are also further exacerbating economic distress by affecting the availability of acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) credit.
 
Falling appraised values for land and subdivisions under development have led some financial institutions to stop lending to developers and builders, to demand additional equity and even to call performing loans, Robson said.
 
“If the spigot for housing production loans is cut off, there can be no housing recovery, and this has major implications for the economy as a whole,” said Robson.

NAHB is calling on housing and federal financial regulators to adopt clear, concise regulatory guidance that will allow appraisers to develop realistic valuations based on sales that are truly comparable.
 
In neighborhoods where the comps include a large number of short sales or foreclosures, appraisers should have the option of expanding the geographic area or extending the time frame for eligible sales to get a more representative picture of the value of homes sold in the area.
 
“You can’t compare a well-constructed new home with a foreclosed property that has been vacant for months and was probably neglected for a long time before it was vacated,” said Robson. “Acting now to establish proper regulatory guidelines for those who use distressed or foreclosed properties as comps when determining home values will help to stabilize home prices and home sales and put people back to work.”

Source: NAHB.org

DV Wise